Monday, September 28, 2015

The best way to predict the future is to create it.

That's what we do everyday. It's called "planning in anticipation" and we all work darn hard to plan our moves in anticipation of others' moves. "Others" include every entity outside our own mind, including our own bodily functions, natural phenomena, pure coincidences, whatever.

Looking back at my past plans and looking harder at my present conditions, I must say some plans did work out. I must say, I have been pretty lucky living in the world where so many have fallen vicitm to civil wars, religeous opressions, extreme poverty, etc., starting in their early childhood. I, on the other hand simply led my first-world and middle-class life, protected by my parents, respective governments, and the civility of my neighbors. And even under these circumstances, my plans, long-term and short, have seen non-negligeable success rates. So no, I do not complain. I still think I could have done better, but no, no complains.

Plans are similar to weahter forecasts. Your chance of planning well and being able to execute accordingly falls of exponentiallly with a time constant of anywhere between one week and a year... multiplied by a coefficient that takes in account the number of external factors involved in the plan. If I had too much time to waste (errr, what am I doing right now? never mind) I could probably build a statistically viable data set on "plans made" and their "completion (partial)" to find a correlation function with a more accurate time constant. Perhaps, I should have been a statistical sociologist who mulls over the fluctiations and dissipations in human lives of the first world.

Well, umm... I am not. 
But as a priviledged, first world member, I should be able to make better plans and thus build my future. Here "better" signifies "more realizable and sustainable."

Another day starts. Use it to build a better future.